Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000112 0.000123 0.000135 0.000149 0.000164 0.000180 0.000199
2025-12-21 0.000087 0.000103 0.000121 0.000143 0.000170 0.000202 0.000242
2025-12-28 0.000075 0.000093 0.000115 0.000144 0.000181 0.000228 0.000291
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000086 0.000111 0.000145 0.000191 0.000252 0.000341
2026-01-11 0.000059 0.000079 0.000105 0.000143 0.000196 0.000270 0.000382
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000074 0.000102 0.000143 0.000205 0.000293 0.000431
2026-01-25 0.000049 0.000069 0.000097 0.000141 0.000208 0.000308 0.000472
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000065 0.000095 0.000141 0.000214 0.000327 0.000521
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000061 0.000091 0.000139 0.000216 0.000341 0.000561
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000057 0.000087 0.000136 0.000217 0.000352 0.000598
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000055 0.000085 0.000137 0.000225 0.000374 0.000658
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000054 0.000085 0.000139 0.000235 0.000402 0.000729
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000051 0.000081 0.000137 0.000236 0.000415 0.000777
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000047 0.000077 0.000131 0.000233 0.000420 0.000811
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000075 0.000132 0.000240 0.000445 0.000888
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000044 0.000074 0.000133 0.000247 0.000472 0.000973
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000131 0.000250 0.000488 0.001037
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000040 0.000071 0.000132 0.000256 0.000514 0.001128
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000038 0.000069 0.000130 0.000258 0.000529 0.001195
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000130 0.000263 0.000552 0.001284
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000127 0.000263 0.000566 0.001351
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000125 0.000263 0.000576 0.001411
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000126 0.000270 0.000606 0.001531